Forex Blog

Forex Trend Analysis CAD/CHF 12-11-2013

The CAD/CHF has been in a down trend for nearly three weeks and is stalling at support. Based on an analysis of the CAD pairs we are now looking for a reversal back up on this pair. We are now looking for CAD strength to return to the market. You can begin to look for buy signals on this pair in the main trading session tomorrow morning using The Forex Heatmap®. We are looking for the reversal on the H4 time frame and in a day or two on the D1 time frame as well. This forex analysis of trends was performed using multiple time frame analysis using parallel and inverse pairs. These market analysis techniques are the best available for forex market analysis.

Forex Trend Analysis CAD/CHF 12-11-2013

Forex Trend Analysis CAD/CHF 12-11-2013

Forex Signals AUD Weakness 12-11-2013

Today in forex trading the market signals showed AUD weakness. This drove strong price movement on several pairs. There was also some EUR strength in the market. This pushed the EUR/AUD much higher, and this pair has no nearby resistance on the larger time frames. We would consider holding on to this trade as the upside potential going forward is very good. The AUD/JPY also dropped on the AUD weakness, however the JPY pairs have mixed trend signals, so we would scale out lots or exit this sell trade. The live forex signals you see below are from The Forex Heatmap®, a real time visual map of the forex market.

Forex Signals AUD Weakness 12-11-2013

Forex Signals AUD Weakness 12-11-2013

Currency Trading Signals AUD Strength 12-10-2013

Today in currency trading the AUD strengthened, driving price movement on these pairs. T he AUD/USD moved up and could be forming a new D1 uptrend. We will continue looking to set buy plans on this pair. The GBP/AUD also dropped due to the AUD strength and is nearing support on the smaller time frames, we would consider scaling out lots on any sell trades on this pair. The currency trading signals you see below for these pairs are from The Forex Heatmap®.

Currency Trading Signals AUD Strength 12-10-2013

Currency Trading Signals AUD Strength 12-10-2013

Forex Trading Signals NZD/JPY Buy 12-6-2013

Today in forex trading the JPY was weak on all pairs. This dive strong price movement on these pairs. The NZD/JPY made a strong move to the upside. Other pairs like the EUR/JPY  and CHF/JPY also broke higher. These pairs have and have no nearby resistance on the larger time frames, so you can continue to hold. The trading signals you see below are from The Forex Heatmap®, a real time map of the forex.

Forex Trading Signals NZD/JPY Buy 12-6-2013

Forex Trading Signals NZD/JPY Buy 12-6-2013

Bitcoin Trading Plan and Entry System

This is a trading plan for crypto traders, it works well with BTC, ETH and XRP, which are top 5 liquidity and circulating supply leaders in  the crypto market. This plan can also be adapted to almost any cryptocurrency. The system is for swing trading reversals in the direction of the main trend or ranging market.

The first step is to get a good quality crypto charting system, there are many platforms and charting sytems available that are high quality. Determine the main trend on the larger time frames and trends on BTC and the market in general, up or down. In some cases the market may also be ranging. We suggest bigger time frames are like H4, H8, H12, D1, W1. This is called multiple timeframe analysis and works on forex, gold and crypto.

Buy Trades

If the larger time frames indicate an uptrend, wait for the market to move down for 2-3 days and stall and go sideways. So you are looking for a big sell off against the main trend, then the price stalls at a support level. This is called a relative low. Then start monitoring and watch for reversal back up into the larger uptrend and make sure the crypto heatmap is all green, BTC ETH and XRP, see example images below. Monitoring the crypto heatmap for upside market momentum along with the smaller time frames will guide your trade entry into the larger reversal uptrend into the main trend.

This way the entire crypto market momentum will be behind you as you enter the buy trade. Trading the crypto market this way makes your trade entries much safer while still trading in the direction of the main trend.

ETH Etherrum Strength

ETH Etherrum Strength

ETH Ethereum M30 Time Frame

ETH Ethereum M30 Time Frame

Manage the trade with stop order and scaled profit taking, especially when using margin, move stop to breakeven as BTC proceeds up and start scaling out lots to your resistance target price.

You can use this strategy to daytrade, or to build a long term position in BTC or the other top cryptos with a professional approach, if you are a long term position trader.

LIVE LINK TO THE BITCOIN HEATMAP:

https://forexheatmap.com/crypto/ff6318149/

Sell Trades

These methods also works exact same way for sells into downtrends. If the main trend on the larger time frames and trends on BTC and the market in general, is down, then wait for BTC to cycle up and stall at resistance. Then start monitoring for a sell into the main downtrend.

XRP Swing Trade H4 Time Frame

XRP Swing Trade H4 Time Frame

Crypto Selloff Live Signals

Crypto Selloff Live Signals

Other Crypto Trading System Components

If you want to trade other cryptos besides BTC, ETH or XRP we would use the same system as described above. This is because most cryptos move somewhat in tandem with BTC. So analyze BTC first, then analyze your favorite cryptos, then if they are all moving in tandem you can still use a system like this, and the overall market with heatmap for guidance for trade entries.

Some crypto trading platforms offer leverage as high as 1000:1, some offer no leverage at all. On your crypto platform observe the spreads and make sure they are low with little fluctuation. If you cannot locate a crypto demo trading platform you can start by trading small dollar amounts until you get the hang of it. Stop orders are available also on some, but not all platforms we have seen. Stop orders on all trades are recommended for true swing traders who need to protect smaller accounts. The news calendar events can drive movement, so get access to a good news calendar to keep track of important news drivers on the larger fiat currencies like the USD, EUR and JPY. Some crypto platforms have price alerts, which can be use to monitor prices for the start ov reversal cycles. We use price alerts on all of our forex trading plans. They work very well.

Low Spreads On XRP

USA clients can check Coinbase, Kraken and BinanceUS platforms, they all have advanced charting and execution platforms with robust features. Or any other wallet with with robust features.

Crytpo Trading Is The Future

We belive forex and gold trading are great options for traders. Over the next several years crypto trading will become a great option as well. Set up your trading systems now for long term access to this emerging market.

Forex Trading Returns Using Leverage

When you use leverage to trade the forex market your returns can be much higher than most typical non leveraged investments or non-leveraged trading. You only have to put up a small amount of money to control a much larger amount. Small movement can result in much larger percentage profits. Losses can be managed with stop orders and moving stops to breakeven. To open a leveraged position, you only need to deposit a fraction of the total trade value, called the margin

Example Leveraged Forex Trading Return Calculation #1:

Account balance: $10,000 USD

Pair: EUR/USD Buy

Deposit Amount for Trade: $1000 One Standard Lot

Leverage: 100:1 

Position size: $100,000 which is $1000 x 100

Scenario: Market moves +75 Pips In Your Favor

Profit: $750

Return on Investment: 75% which is $1,000 profit divided by $1,000 initial investment

Total Return on Account: Since account starting balance is $10,000 return on account including non-margined funds is $750 divided by $10,000 which is 7.5%.

If you make 4 trades in one month with 75 Pips return each on EUR/USD your account balance will be $13,000 at the end of the month which is a 30% return on the total account.

USD IMAGES READY

Example Leveraged Forex Trading Return Calculation #2:

Account balance: $10,000 USD

Pair: GBP/JPY Sell

Leverage: 50:1 

Deposit Amount for Trade: $2000 One Standard Lot

Position size: $100,000 which is $2000 x 50

Scenario: Market moves +200 pips in your favor 

Profit: $133 sounds way too low

Return on Investment: 6.6% which is $133 profit divided by $2,000 initial investment.

Total Return on Account: Since account starting balance is $10,000 return on account including non-margined funds is $133 divided by $10,000 which is 1.33 %.

If you make 2 trades in one month with 1.33% return each on GBP/JPY your account balance will be $10,266 at the end of the month which is a 2.66 % return on the total account.

GBP/JPY IMAGES READY

Risk Management

these examples are simplified to focus on the mechanics of leverage in forex gains.

Forex Trading Returns Using Leverage – DELETE

When you use leverage to trade the forex market your returns can be much higher than most typical non leveraged investments or non-leveraged trading. You only have to put up a small amount of money to control a much larger amount. Small movement can result in much larger percentage profits. Losses can be managed with stop orders and moving stops to breakeven.

To open a leveraged position, you only need to deposit a fraction of the total trade value, called the margin

Example Leveraged Forex Trading Return Calculation #1:

Account balance: $10,000 

Pair: EUR/USD Buy

Deposit Amount for Trade: $1000

Leverage: 100:1 

Position size: $100,000 (calculated by multiplying account balance with leverage) 

Scenario: Market moves 1% in your favor

Profit: ___ Pips or $1,000  

Return on Investment: 100% which is $1,000 profit divided by $1,000 initial investment) 

Total Return on Account: Since account starting balance is $10,000 return on account including non-margined funds is $1,000 divided by $10,000 which is 10%.

If you make 4 trades in one month with 1% return each your account balance will be $14,000 at the end of the month which is a 40% return on the total account.

USD IMAGES READY

Example Leveraged Forex Trading Return Calculation #2:

Account balance: $10,000

Pair: GBP/JPY Sell

Leverage: 50:1 

Deposit Amount for Trade: $2000

Position size: $100,000 which is $2000 x 50

Scenario: Market moves 200 pips or 1.33% in your favor.

Profit: ___ Pips or $669

Exchange Rate at Entry: 150.00 (1 GBP = 150.00 JPY)

Exchange Rate at Exit: 148.00 (1 GBP = 148.00 JPY)

Position Size: With 50:1 leverage, you control $100,000 worth of GBP/JPY (2,000 * 50).

Number of GBP sold: $100,000 / 150.00 = 666.67 GBP.

Buying GBP back: When the rate drops to 148.00, you buy back those 666.67 GBP for JPY: 666.67 GBP * 148.00 = 98,667.16 JPY Initial Investment = $2,000 (or equivalently, 300,000 JPY at the entry rate of 150 JPY per USD) Final Value in JPY = 98,667.16 JPY, which at the exit rate equals $669.37 (98,667.16 JPY / 148 JPY per USD) Profit in USD = $669.37

Return On Investment: ($669.37 / $2,000) * 100 = 34.7%

Total Return on Account: Since account starting balance is $10,000 return on account including non-margined funds is $669 divided by $10,000 which is 6.7% on one 200 pip GBP/JPY trade.

If you make 2 trades in one month with 6.7% return each your account balance will be $11,338 at the end of the month which is a 13% return on the total account.

GBP/JPY IMAGES READY

Risk Management

these examples are simplified to focus on the mechanics of leverage in forex gains.

Gold XAU Trading System With Correlated Pairs

Forexearlywarning now has a Gold trading system with real time signals and professional chart setup with correlated pairs. On June 27, 2024 our live signals system for trading gold indicated strong momentum to the downside. Movements on all 8 gold pairs were consistent since the XAU/XXX cross currencies were not moving very much today.

Real Time Gold Sell Signals

Real Time Gold Sell Signals

Gold Charting System

Gold Charting System

XAU/USD dropped down to the 2320 level. Since the overall trend on gold is up on the larger time frames, we suggest closing out this trade as a short term sell. We expect Gold to consolidate near todays intraday lows and move back up in 1-2 days.

The indicators you see above are The Forex Heatmap® for 28 currency pairs plus gold, the heatmap is a robust real time visual tool for trading the forex market and gold. Our gold correlated pairs charting system matches the heatmap with two different time frames for XAU/USD on the right and two correlated pairs charted on the same screen. Some charting systems allow for several XAU/XXX pairs to be charted on the same screen similar to our metatrader profiles chart setup

Forex Demo Trading Two Different Ways

There are two ways to demo trade the forex market. One way is to demo trade in the direction of the major trends of the market without consideration for an exact entry point or drawdown. The second way is to time your entry more exactly so that you become profitable almost immediately.

Demo Trading For Trend Traders

There are several forex trading styles, one trading style is trend trading. If a traders spots a great uptrend or downtrend on the higher time frames like the D1 and or W1 time frame, up or down, they can easily enter a demo trade with little effort and no consideration for drawdown. Entering trends at the beginning of the cycle is particularly useful and can lead to profits. The demo trade might have drawdown so it is suggested that you trade near the beginning of  new D1 of W1 trend cycle or newly formed trend. Here are some examples.

Forex Demo Trading Trends

Forex Demo Trading Trends

Forex Demo Trading Trends AUD/NZD

Forex Demo Trading Trends AUD/NZD

Forex Demo Trading Trends EUR/CHF

Look at the top 2 examples, the D1 uptrend is close to starting and forming a new trend and these two pairs, the EUR/AUD and AUD/NZD, are in wide ranges. You can demo trade both of these pairs when the price starts rising on the smaller time frames. The third chart on the bottom is an exaple of a possible price breakout on the W1 time frame to the upside on the EUR/CHF. In these situations you are trading near the beginning of the trend or a probable breakout on a larger time frame. You are not trying to exactly time your trade so you may have some drawdown if you have a randomly timed entry point. However the upside potential of all 3 trades is very high so your money management ratio is excellent.

You can run other checks to increase your odds. On the EUR/CHF demo trade you can see if the other EUR pairs are trending up or if the CHF pairs indicate CHF weakness. This can be done in a few minutes if you use our professional chart setup using the metatrader profiles.

Demo Trading With More Exact Timing

The second method of demo trading is trying to time your demo trade entry so that you have little or no drawdown, looking for immediate profits, to take advantage of market volatility and momentum. For this type of demo trade we have a very good trading system including live signals, alerts and more exact timing procedures. Here is an example trade entry:

Demo Trade CAD Strength

Demo Trade CAD Strength

Demo Trade CAD Strength

Demo Trade CAD Strength

The CAD strength is obvious on our live forex indicator called The Forex Heatmap®. When demo trading with this type of system you are looking for little or no drawdown after you enter, because it is a momentum based trade entry. Then, if the GBP/CAD is trending down on the higher time frames, H4 or larger, then you have a chance to make more trend based pips going forward after your entry.

Combining Both Demo Trading Methods

If you use the second method to demo trade and your trend is in place is starting on the higher time frames, you have optimized your trading system. You can time your entries and also trade near the beginning of larger trend formation like the top 3 examples, to optimize money management and upside potential. Aftere some period of demo trading you can move to micro lot trading with stops, then mini lot trading, then full scale lots.

Most Effective Forex Chart Setup For Traders, See the Pips

Forex traders struggle to make pips because they cannot see the pips. With this effective forex chart set up you will see the pips much more clearly and open up the door to increasing your pip totals across 8 currencies and 28 pairs.

Examples Of This Logical, Effective Chart Setup

Here are two examples of this chart setup for the AUD and USD currencies. You can duplicate this chart setup for the top 8, most liquid currencies total with up to 7 charts on one screen.

Click on any image below to expand to full screen.

Most Effective Forex Chart Setup USD Weakness

Most Effective Forex Chart Setup USD Weakness

Most Effective Forex Chart Setup USD Pairs

Most Effective Forex Chart Setup USD Pairs

Most Effective Forex Chart Setup AUD Strength

Most Effective Forex Chart Setup AUD Strength

Most Effective Forex Chart Setup AUD Pairs

Most Effective Forex Chart Setup AUD Pairs

You can see all the AUD and USD pairs lined up side by side with our live signal system. The Forex Heatmap®. It is clear that the USD weakness and AUD strength is driving the movment in real time. The currency pairs moving the fastest will always be the strongest versus the weakest, day after day. If you enter a buy or sell trade you can check the higher time frames to see if the pair is trending.

Why Would Forex Traders Set Up The Charts This Way?

Individual currencies drive the movements in the forex market. If one currency is consistently strong or weak in real time you should look for pips there. This is an irrefutable fact. But forex traders suffer because they simply ignore this fact and use technical indicators, do risky news trading or random trade entries and guessiing. This indicator and chart setup is totally logical.

How To Set Up Your Charts This Way

Traders can set up their forex charts on any time frame with up to 7 pairs on each screen using the metatrader profiles. Set up the charts like you see above on the smaller time frames to guide your trade entries, then set them up on the larger time frames to see the overall trends and look for price targets. We recommend this setup for the top 8, most liquid currencies. USD, CAD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY, AUD and NZD pairs, 28 pairs total.

Fast Navigation, Currency To Currency

If the action is heating up on more than one currency, you can navigate through the charts quickly from currency to currency. Simply click on the hotkeys on your keyboard or use the dropdown menu in metatrader to move through the profiles on any time frame. Very simple but usually ignored by most traders. Ctrl F5 and Shift F5 hotkeys can be used to navigate up to 7 charts at a time.

When To Check The Forex Market For Strong Movement

Most of the significant market movements occur in the main trading session, and a few times per month in the Asian session or at other times during the day. If you use the news calendar and our other professional alert systems correctly, you can spend less time in front of the computer and still see most of the volatility in the forex market.

The New Forex Industry Charting Standard?

Forex traders are looking for better choices in their charting systems and trading systems. Setting up your charts by individual currency in this manner will become the standard for making pips in the future. Forex traders are consumed by technical indicators and are looking for better choices. They know technical indicators are ineffective and news trading is risky. This chart setup can be use on a permanent basis by any forex trader, instead of going from indicator to indicator week after week. Forex trades want logic, not more indicators.

Summary and Conclusions: Forex traders are looking for logical, consistent trading systems that go with the flow and momentum of the market. Top notch charting systems like this one will provide traders qualifying for funding the ability to see the pips much better and likely get their funding much easier, with much lower drawdown.